What’s In The Fed Minutes?

Federal Reserve policymakers were increasingly split on the outlook for inflation and how it might affect the future pace of interest rate rises, according to the minutes of the Fed’s last policy.

The minutes from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) most recent policy meeting sent a message to markets that it would continue its gradual pace for hiking interest rates as it continues to navigate the challenging process of policy normalization it started in December 2013, when it announced it would start tapering bond purchases.

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The Federal Reserve System is the central banking system of the United States. It was created in 1913, with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act. Its duties today are to conduct the nation’s monetary policy, supervise and regulate banking institutions, maintain the stability of the financial system and provide financial services to.

The major averages were up 0.5% to 0.75% going into the highly important FOMC minutes release at 2pm. After the release of the notes, investors were somewhat surprised by the Hawkish remarks and talk.

The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, provides the nation with a safe, flexible, and stable monetary and financial system.

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"During Greenspan’s chairmanship, when a crisis arose and the stock market fell more than about 20%, the Fed would lower the Fed Funds rate, often resulting in a negative real yield. In essence, the Fed added monetary liquidity and encouraged risk-taking in the financial markets to avert further deterioration.

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Despite desperate attempts to jawbone March rate-hike-odds higher, because as Master said last night "we don’t want to surprise the markets", Fed Funds Futures imply just a 36% chance (down from a week ago). That suggests, if The Fed is serious about March, that today’s minutes must be spun towards that narrative. Here are the five key areas to watch for.

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The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its March meeting, providing more detail about officials’ discussions where most signaled they didn’t expect to raise interest rates this year.

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